TGIS College Football Preview – Conference Championship Weekend

OVERALL RECORD: 318-272-11 (53.9%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 77-59-2 (56.6%)

Top Picks of the Week

New Mexico State +11 at Liberty

New Mexico State in the last two weeks has beaten Auburn and Jacksonville State (one of the best teams in the Conference USA.) They can keep it within double digits against Liberty.

Oregon -9.5 vs Washington

Washington has not been right over the last month. It all comes to an end here where Oregon takes them out… by a lot.

Oklahoma State +15.5 vs Texas

Texas needs style points, but I don’t think they will get them against the Pokes. Oklahoma State keeps this close.

Georgia vs Alabama +6

Whenever Bama seems like they have no chance, that is when they show up. Bama makes this a game.

Michigan -21.5 at Iowa

Iowa has no shot with their offense. Michigan blows them out here.

Louisville +2.5 vs Florida State

If Florida State plays like they did against Florida they will not win this weekend. That is what I think happens. Louisville with the minor upset.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 13

OVERALL RECORD: 314-266-11 (54.1%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 73-53-2 (57.9%)

Top Picks of the Week

TCU +11.5 at #14 Oklahoma

Oklahoma has showed no reason to be double digit favorites over anyone recently.

Miami at Boston College +10

Miami in 40 degree Boston weather? Ya, betting against that all day.

Oregon State +13.5 at Oregon

Oregon doesn’t have a win over a ranked team yet.

Kentucky +7.5 at Louisville

Too. Many. Points.

Ohio State at Michigan UNDER 45.5

I like both of these defenses matchups against the opposing offense.

Texas A&M at LSU OVER 66

LSU will be going for a Jayden Daniels Heisman and meanwhile LSU’s secondary will try to stop anyone.

Wisconsin at Minnesota UNDER 42.5

Any explanation necessary? These teams can’t score.

Washington State +17 at Washington

Actually sprinkle a little on the +550 moneyline. Washington State could flat out win this game.

Florida State at Florida +7

Battle of the backups? Florida keeps it close in this rivalry game.

Alabama –13,5 at Auburn

Not even close to enough points.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 12

OVERALL RECORD: 312-260-11 (54.6%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 71-47-2 (60.2%)

Top Picks of the Week

Georgia -10 at Tennessee

TGIS jumped on this one right away. That is not nearly enough points.

Louisville at Miami -1

Louisville… overrated. As long as Miami doesn’t quit they can win this one at home.

Old Dominion at Georgia Southern -6

Old Dominion isn’t a good football team. Georgia Southern takes care of them at home.

Utah +1 at Arizona

Wrong team favored.

Oregon at Arizona State +24

Arizona State has played hard defense all year. They’ll fight hard to keep this under 4 scores.

Washington at Oregon State -2.5

Washington won’t be able to stop Oregon State’s offense. Oregon State will get a few stops against Washington’s defense.

Texas at Iowa State UNDER 48.5

Iowa State is about to bring Texas into the mud… for a little while. Low scoring game.

Nebraska at Wisconsin UNDER 39.5

Have you seen both of these offenses? The only thing that worries me is Nebraska starting QB Jeff Sims throwing pick sixes.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 11

OVERALL RECORD: 306-254-11 (54.6%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 65-41-2 (61.3%)

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

#8 Alabama -10.5 at Kentucky

Let down spot? Nah, this Alabama team is as good as it has been all season. The Alabama defense eats this poor Kentucky offense alive,

#3 Michigan at #10 Penn State UNDER 46

Remember how neither Penn State or Ohio State could score in their matchup? I’m expecting the same thing here with two excellent defenses.

#21 Arizona -10 at Colorado

Deion is too busy keeping his players records in fights and demoting great OC’s. Principal fade Colorado play going into the end of the year.

Miami +14.5 at #4 Florida State

Two touchdowns and a hook in a rivalry game? Miami keeps it closer than that.

#14 Tennessee -1 at #16 Missouri

Missouri is a solid team… but they are not Tennessee. As long as Joe Milton doesn’t screw it up, this should hit.

Utah +9.5 at #5 Washington UNDER 53

Two for one special. The Utah defense will make this a game.

Auburn at Arkansas UNDER 48.5

Don’t trust either of these offenses. Remember the 7-3 Mississippi State game? Ya, something like that.

Cincinnati at Houston -2.5

Fading Cincinnati principal.

Florida at LSU OVER 62.5

Why would we not take an LSU over? They are putting out true freshman corners out there that are not ready to play.

Mississippi State +18 at Texas A&M

You sure about that line? Way too many points for the Aggies.

USC +15.5 at Oregon

We have been fading USC all season, but now is the time we flip the script for no apparent reason other than a gut feeling Caleb Williams fights to keep this close.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 10

OVERALL RECORD: 300-249-11 (54.6%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 59-37-2 (61.5%)

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

#12 Notre Dame at Clemson UNDER 44.5

I trust both of these defenses to slow the opposing offense. Remember the slugfest 14-10 Notre Dame and Ohio State game? Expect something similar.

#10 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State UNDER 62

It is windy and I’m trusting the OU defense to have a bounce back game after getting upset against Kansas.

#9 Penn State at Maryland +9.5

Penn State has been sleepwalking since the Ohio State game… they get caught here. Maryland covers.

Virginia Tech +10 at #15 Louisville

I’m on the Louisville isn’t that good train, it’s just their schedule. Meanwhile Virginia Tech has been hot ever since they made the QB switch. Hokies cover.

Georgia Southern -1 at Texas State

High scoring game, I trust the Georgia Southern offense more.

Kentucky -3.5 at Mississippi State UNDER 46

Both of these offenses have been a slow-down style and non-explosive. Under.

#5 Washington -3 at #24 USC

Fade USC. We’ve been doing it all season.

#13 LSU at #8 Alabama -3

LSU is missing a ton of cornerbacks and lost their best defensive lineman. A bad LSU defense just got worse.

#16 Oregon State -13.5 at Colorado

Deion made the dumbest move switching OC’s with 4 games remaining when his OC Sean Lewis has been excellent. They lose big.

#20 UCLA at Arizona +3

Wrong team favored. Arizona is the better football team.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 9

OVERALL RECORD: 289-247-11 (53.9%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 48-35-2 (57.8%)

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

Georgia State at Georgia Southern -1 – Thursday 6:30pm

A Sun Belt Rivalry game! We are taking Georgia Southern as we expect them to tear State up through the air. One point isn’t enough.

Indiana +32 at #10 Penn State – 11am

Penn State is coming off an emotional game on the road against Ohio State where the offense did not get going at all. Expect a slow start where the Nittany Lions don’t cover.

South Carolina at Texas A&M UNDER 54 – 11am

The South Carolina offensive line has been horrid all year. Now they face a very talented Aggie defensive line. On the other side I don’t trust Texas A&M to score. Under all day.

West Virginia +7 at UCF – 11am

Yes, UCF played Oklahoma tough the week before. But getting a whole touchdown is ridiculous against a tough West Virginia team. UCF comes back to where they have been all year and don’t cover.

#1 Georgia -14 vs Florida – 2:30pm

Florida couldn’t stop Kentucky’s run game… they have no shot against Georgia.

#8 Oregon -6.5 at #13 Utah – 2:30pm

I’m nervous going against Utah when they’re at home because it is one of the greatest home field advantages in college football. But they are overrated coming off of a win against USC. I don’t trust them to move the ball on anyone (except USC).

Iowa State -2.5 at Baylor -2:30pm

Iowa State has been secretly on a roll beating Cincinnati by 20 points and TCU by 13 points. TGIS has been fading Baylor all year… we’re not stopping now.

Mississippi State at Auburn UNDER 42.5 – 2:30pm

Mississippi State just beat Arkansas 7-3. You know who else can’t move the ball? Auburn. UNDER.

Pittsburgh +20.5 at #14 Notre Dame – 2:30pm

TOO MANY POINTS. Pittsburgh has been playing better in the second half of the year after sitting Phil Jurkovec. The offensive line has too. Expect a slug fest.

Virginia +18.5 at Miami – 2:30pm

Miami at home coming off a big victory against Clemson. Their fans don’t show up for these type of games and neither does Miami. Virginia covers.

#24 USC at Cal +10.5 – 3pm

FADE USC. Lincoln Riley hasn’t been shown up to practice all week and this team is on quit watch.

#21 Tennessee -3.5 at Kentucky – 6pm

This Kentucky offense has struggled all year. Tennessee has a good enough defense to keep them in check. The Vols win.

#11 Oregon State at Arizona OVER 56.5 – 9:30pm

Since Noah Fifita has taken over for Arizona they have been scoring quite a bit of points. Oregon State has been successful on offense too. POINTS IN PAC-12 AFTER DARK.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 8

OVERALL RECORD: 283-243-11 (53.8%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 42-31-2 (57.5%)

TGIS Game of the Week

#7 Penn State at #3 Ohio State – 11am

The line is Penn State +5 and the over under is set at 45.5 and I have absolutely zero plays on this game. The line is exactly how I see this game playing out. A close-low scoring game where I see home field coming to play here. Both offensive lines may struggle against the defensive lines causing each offense to struggle. First time I haven’t had a play on a TGIS game of the week, but I think the line is exactly right. If I had a lean it would be Penn State +5.

Prediction: Ohio State 24- Penn State 21

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

James Madison -3.5 at Marshall – 6pm on Thursday

James Madison has won the last three games by at least 7 points including a 28 point victory against a very good Georgia Southern team last week. James Madison is a wagon we are hopping on.

SMU -20.5 at Temple – Friday 6pm

Temple just got beat by 31 by North Texas. SMU can do that too.

South Carolina +7.5 at #20 Missouri – 2:30pm

South Carolina moved the ball all over Florida before giving up a ten point lead in the 4th. These teams are way too close for the Cocks to be an over touchdown underdog. Give me South Carolina.

Minnesota +3.5 at Iowa – 2:30pm

Iowa can’t keep getting away with absolutely zero offense. Minnesota keeps it close and may win outright.

Texas Tech at BYU +4.5 – 6pm

I get BYU as an underdog in Provo against a third-string, freshman Texas Tech quarterback? Seems too good to be true.

Colorado State at UNLV -7.5 – 6pm

UNLV has beat their last three opponents by 17, 24, and 18. They are a very good Mountain West team that will continue to roll.

#14 Utah +7.5 at #18 USC– 6:30pm

USC’s offense looked like trash against Notre Dame. Now they have a tough Utah defense. Even though the Utes don’t have a great offense, I still think they can move it on USC. Give me the points.

Duke +14.5 at #4 Florida State – 6:30pm

I know Riley Leonard most likely won’t start for Duke, but I’m betting on the Duke defense to keep this under two touchdowns.

Clemson -3 at Miami – 7pm

I do not trust Miami at all right now and there really isn’t a home field advantage in Miami Gardens. Clemson has a defense to stop Miami. Clemson wins.

#25 UCLA at Stanford UNDER 55– 7pm

UCLA actually has a defense unlike Colorado who gave up almost 300 yards to Stanfor WR Ellic Ayomanor. Meanwhile UCLA’s offense has not looked great. Give me the under.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 7

OVERALL RECORD: 278-239-10 (53.8%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 37-27 (57.8%)

TGIS Games of the Week

Oregon +3 at Washington – 2:30pm

I know it is in Seattle, but I truly believe Oregon is the better team. The Washington secondary has not been tested yet, but will with Bo Nix. I’m trusting the Oregon defense over Washington’s. Oregon not only covers, but wins.

Prediction: Oregon 38 – Washington 31

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

Georgia Southern +6 at James Madison – 11am

Too many points as the Georgia Southern passing game will have success against James Madison.

Iowa State +5.5 at Cincinnati – 11am

Too many points as we’ve been fading Cincinnati (profitably) all year.

Texas A&M at #19 Tennessee UNDER 55.5 – 2:30pm

An underrated piece of this Tennessee defense is the pressure they have been able to generate. A&M’s offensive line is below average and will have trouble. Meanwhile, the A&M defensive line will continue giving opposing teams trouble. Bet the under.

Florida at South Carolina -1.5 – 2:30pm

Florida is on the borderline of falling apart. On the other side, even with a poor offensive line, Spencer Rattler has been excellent. The Gamecocks win comfortably.

BYU +6 at TCU – 2:30pm

TCU’s backup quarterback Josh Hoover is starting and they are six point favorites? I expect a low-scoring close game… that BYU could definitely win.

Wisconsin at Iowa UNDER 35 – 3pm

We have 18mph winds and an Iowa backup quarterback that cannot throw at all… EASY UNDER.

#10 USC at #21 Notre Dame -2.5 – 6:30pm

What does USC not do well? stop the run. Notre Dame should be able to run all over USC and control this game. Fighting Irish end the sleep walking USC’s undefeated run.

#25 Miami at #12 North Carolina OVER 56.5 – 6:30pm

Drake Maye is going to take advantage of this Miami secondary. Miami will contribute and this will be a high scoring game.

#18 UCLA +3.5 at Oregon State – 7pm

Oregon State just played a 52-42 game. The Oregon State defense has taken a step back. Meanwhile UCLA may have one of the best defenses in the Pac-12. I like UCLA to keep it close and possibly win.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 6

OVERALL RECORD: 273-237-9 (53.5%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 32-25 (56.1%)

TGIS Games of the Week

#12 Oklahoma vs #3 Texas -5.5

Under 6 points? I am taking Texas as the much better team on the neutral field. If you doubt they have a better team, just look at the positional breakdown. Texas has better receivers, offensive line, running backs, quarterbacks and flat out a better defense.

Prediction: Texas 31-21

#11 Alabama +1 at Texas A&M

Obviously I’m taking Alabama with them as an underdog and A&M starting a backup QB. The Texas A&M defense will be tough on the line, but Alabama has improved from earlier this season.

Prediction: Alabama 24-21

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

Maryland +20 at #4 Ohio State

Sure Maryland hasn’t played anyone. But the Terps can challenge this Ohio State secondary and keep this close.

UCF at Kansas +2

I’m taking the Jayhawks as a home underdog, especially after UCF’s collapse last week against Baylor

Colorado at Arizona State OVER 59.5

Deion won’t take his foot off the pedal and the Sun Devils will have success against Colorado’s defense.

Arkansas +11.5 at #16 Ole Miss

TOO MANY POINTS. Especially after a field storming and draining win against LSU.

Texas Tech -1 at Baylor

Baylor stinks and Tech showed last week against Houston that they have a pulse.

Arizona +23 at #9 USC

USC doesn’t play consistent defense for this spread to be 23 points.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 5

OVERALL RECORD: 269-229-9 (54%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 28-17 (62.2%)

TGIS Game of the Week

#10 Utah at #19 Oregon State UNDER 45.5 – Friday 8:00pm

I project Utah will still not have Cam Rising back… which means Nate Johnson has to start another football game. The Utah defense will keep this a low-scoring, close game.

Prediction: Oregon State 20-17

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

Cincinnati at BYU +2 – Friday 9:15pm

I know BYU has a few injuries, but I can’t pass up taking BYU as a home underdog, especially with Cincinnati trotting out Emory Jones at QB.

Clemson -6.5 at Syracuse – 11am

I think Clemson has something figured out offensively. Syracuse hasn’t played anyone yet… Clemson by double digits.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas UNDER 54.5 – 11am

Texas A&M is starting a backup QB. I also think the Aggie front is going to give the Arkansas offensive line fits. Give me the under 54.5

#8 USC -21.5 at Colorado – 11am

You saw the Colorado game against Oregon right? Everyone is going to come out and put it on the Buffs.

#1 Georgia -14 at Auburn – 2:30pm

You have seen Auburn try to throw the ball this year right?

Houston at Texas Tech UNDER 51.5 – 2:30pm

Texas Tech is forced to start their back-up QB. Meanwhile, Houston has looked underwhelming this year. Under, all day.

Kansas at #3 Texas -16 – 2:30pm

Texas continues to be undervalued as I think they will continue to roll through the Big 12 schedule. Blowout win.

#13 LSU -2.5 at #20 Ole Miss – 5pm

Under a Field Goal favorite against Ole Miss? The LSU defensive line is going to give Ole Miss problems. Tigers in a bounce back game.

Iowa State +21 at #14 Oklahoma – 6pm

We were on Oklahoma last week… but 21 points this week is too many. Iowa State covers.

#12 Alabama at Mississippi State UNDER 46.5 – 8pm

Alabama may have one of the top defense’s in the nation. It is their offense that doesn’t score. Under hits easily.

Washington at Arizona OVER 67.5 – 9pm

PAC-12 AFTER DARK!!! Washington’s secondary has not been tested, they will this week. Points, points and more points.